Monday 31 May 2010

solar system - Could the 9th planet be virtual?

The ninth planet can absolutely be a "virtual", in the way you describe it, meaning observed data indicating the gravitational influence by an object is not actually caused by such an object.



A simple visualisation of this is the case of a two-body system, where we observe two objects orbiting a common barycentre. From the observed data, one can get the impression that there is an object in the barycentre, pulling both of your observed objects against it.1



However, a barycentric way to explain the observations gets less likely as you add more bodies. Be aware that the current indications of "planet 9" is based on a mere correlation of some not-so-accurate data, from a small sample size, heavily biased by observation constraints.




how could we distinguish a "real" 9th planet from a virtual one,
except by the obvious answer if we can observe it directly?




That is only by its gravitational influence alone.



As a rule of thumb, incomplete and inaccurate data always imply the risk of causing virtual objects.



It should also be noted too that observations in the Kuiper belt generally can not yield how a orbit changes, due to the extremely long revolution times. observing "Interactions" are actually mostly about tracing an orbit back from its current state vectors, to find probable interaction events in the past. That is literary to ask for data artefacts and virtual objects.



1Before anyone objects about how easy it is to falsify that: Yes it is easy to determine that there can not actually be an object there, based purely on observing the two bodies. But, that requires 1. accurate data about the motion of the two objects, and 2. their mass. Our current data about the Kuiper belt fails to give good enough data on both points.

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