The following two statements are really "obviously false", but are still open:
depth-2-
depth-2-
Just as a reminder:
is exponential time plus an oracle for NP. It contains (nondeterministic exponential time), , and .
By "depth-2-" I mean the class of polynomial-size, depth-two circuit families where each gate is an arbitrary threshold function -- i.e., if it has Boolean inputs , it is defined by reals and has output 1 iff .
By depth-2- I mean the class of polynomial-size, depth-two circuit families where each gate is a "standard" gate: if it has Boolean inputs , it has output 1 iff mod 6.
Expanding on the second open problem: Given , define an - gate to be one which outputs 1 iff mod 6.
The most embarrassing open problem in circuit complexity may be the following: Show that for all possible subsets , the AND function requires superpolynomial-size depth-2 circuits of - gates.
[PS: Thanks to Arkadev Chattopadhyay for explaining some of these problems to me.]
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