You answered your own question. As the CIA officer clearly states, the flight plan only includes one member of the LoA, not three. If Bane had ordered more than one of them to stay, it would have been suspicious. The flight plan calls for one extra passenger, yet here are three extra passengers. Something obviously went down.
I think that it was a better safe than sorry type thing. As you said, Bane didn't know if he was telling the truth or not, there was a 50/50 chance that he was. For all Bane knew, none of them were on the flight plan, but he was using his judgement based off of what he was told, which was that only one of them was added to the plan, so, he told only one to stay just to be safe. There's also the fact that if Bane had ordered all of them to stay, his forces would have been that much weaker.
Even if, though, the CIA guy was bluffing and the plane hadn't crashed, it would be much easier for the agent to explain why there are so many more passengers as opposed to them looking at the plane and wondering why all these other bodies are on the plane, which would still cause them to become suspicious. Not to mention, Bane also removed one passenger from the plane, so there's also the possibility that he didn't believe the CIA agent at all and was replacing a body with a body, which would have the investigation into the crash account for all the passengers.
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